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Colorado, Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft

Special Statement

Statement as of 9:00 AM MDT on March 22, 2017

Expires 11:00 PM EDT on March 22, 2017


... High impact storm possible Thursday night into Friday...

A majority of long range computer model simulations indicate that
a vigorous Pacific storm will move across southern Colorado
Thursday night through Friday. This system will have the potential
to bring a variety of high impact weather to the area from
this afternoon into Friday night.

This weather system will begin to affect the region today as very
warm, dry and windy conditions develop over the plains, especially
the southern Interstate 25 corridor. This will elevate fire
danger across the area.

On Thursday, as the storm nears, dry and very windy conditions
will once again develop over much of the plains increasing the
fire danger over the lower elevations. In addition to the high
fire danger, there will be a chance for one or two severe storms
to develop over eastern Colorado, especially near the Kansas
border.

Over the Continental Divide region, snow will develop Thursday
and last into Friday. Areas of heavy snow will be likely. The
heaviest snow will fall across the San Juans Thursday night with
the heavy snow developing over the central mountains by early
Friday morning and lasting through the day.

As the storm center tracks east of The Rockies Thursday night, a
surface low is forecast to rapidly intensify over southeast
Colorado and drop southeastward. As this low intensifies, strong
northerly winds will develop over eastern Colorado Thursday night
and last into Friday. Heavy precipitation is forecast to develop
over all of the Pikes Peak region, and this will likely be in the
form of snow and blowing snow, especially for elevations above
6500 feet. This could lead to significant travel impacts over
Monument Hill Thursday night through Friday. Depending on the
track of the storm, heavy snow will be possible along the Wet
Mountains, Wet Mountain Valley region and the Sangre de Cristos
late Thursday night into Friday. Snow and blowing snow may affect
the Raton Mesa region during the day on Friday.

Over the lower elevations of the plains, areas of rain are
expected on Friday. The rain may mix with or even change to wet
snow at times, particularly west of La Junta. Strong north winds
will likely gust in excess of 50 mph on Friday resulting in strong
Crosswinds on east west oriented roadways.

Those in Colorado should keep a close eye on the weather
forecasts during the next several days, especially if you have
travel plans. How this storm impacts the region will be dependent
on the exact track of the storm system which is still vulnerable
to change over the next 24 hours.




900 am MDT Wed Mar 22 2017

... High impact storm possible Thursday night into Friday...

A majority of long range computer model simulations indicate that
a vigorous Pacific storm will move across southern Colorado
Thursday night through Friday. This system will have the potential
to bring a variety of high impact weather to the area from
this afternoon into Friday night.

This weather system will begin to affect the region today as very
warm, dry and windy conditions develop over the plains, especially
the southern Interstate 25 corridor. This will elevate fire
danger across the area.

On Thursday, as the storm nears, dry and very windy conditions
will once again develop over much of the plains increasing the
fire danger over the lower elevations. In addition to the high
fire danger, there will be a chance for one or two severe storms
to develop over eastern Colorado, especially near the Kansas
border.

Over the Continental Divide region, snow will develop Thursday
and last into Friday. Areas of heavy snow will be likely. The
heaviest snow will fall across the San Juans Thursday night with
the heavy snow developing over the central mountains by early
Friday morning and lasting through the day.

As the storm center tracks east of The Rockies Thursday night, a
surface low is forecast to rapidly intensify over southeast
Colorado and drop southeastward. As this low intensifies, strong
northerly winds will develop over eastern Colorado Thursday night
and last into Friday. Heavy precipitation is forecast to develop
over all of the Pikes Peak region, and this will likely be in the
form of snow and blowing snow, especially for elevations above
6500 feet. This could lead to significant travel impacts over
Monument Hill Thursday night through Friday. Depending on the
track of the storm, heavy snow will be possible along the Wet
Mountains, Wet Mountain Valley region and the Sangre de Cristos
late Thursday night into Friday. Snow and blowing snow may affect
the Raton Mesa region during the day on Friday.

Over the lower elevations of the plains, areas of rain are
expected on Friday. The rain may mix with or even change to wet
snow at times, particularly west of La Junta. Strong north winds
will likely gust in excess of 50 mph on Friday resulting in strong
Crosswinds on east west oriented roadways.

Those in Colorado should keep a close eye on the weather
forecasts during the next several days, especially if you have
travel plans. How this storm impacts the region will be dependent
on the exact track of the storm system which is still vulnerable
to change over the next 24 hours.



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